Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Benito Sanchez Martinez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Marvin Moeller; the market gives 69% to Marvin Moeller (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Marvin Moeller is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Benito Sanchez Martinez 4-6 over theirs.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1597 · Benito Sanchez Martinez 1517
| Marvin Moeller | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1597 vs 1517).
- Marvin Moeller is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.4 | 9.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 25/06 | David Tixhon M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Leo Deflandre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 27/06 | Daniel Salazar M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Jakub Filip M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Jannik Soetebier M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Majdandzic M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Roberto Bautista-Agut ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Adhithya Ganesan ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Romain Gales ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Andrew Fenty ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Benito Sanchez Martinez?
Our model gives 65% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.