Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Vilius Gaubas
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Nikoloz Basilashvili; the market gives 58% to Vilius Gaubas (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Vilius Gaubas 3-7 over theirs.
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nikoloz Basilashvili 0–1 Vilius Gaubas (1).
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 13.2-14.4 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 25.8% |
H2H · Nikoloz Basilashvili 0 – 1 Vilius Gaubas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikoloz Basilashvili 0–1 Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/24 Challenger Verona | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Pedro Boscardin Dias French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Andrey Rublev ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/05 | Ben Shelton ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Mmoh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Van Assche French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-21 | L |
| 22/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/05 | Federico Coria French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Vilius Gaubas?
Our model gives 54% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.