Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00

Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Tabur

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Diego Dedura-Palomero; the market gives 50% to Diego Dedura-Palomero (odds 1.83).

Recent form leaves Diego Dedura-Palomero with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Clement Tabur has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

51%1
51% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1532 · Clement Tabur 1514
Diego Dedura-PalomeroClement Tabur
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Diego Dedura-PalomeroClement Tabur
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.4-1.3
Games (G-P)11-1113.4-13.3
Aces1.55.1
Double faults1.72.7
1st serve %65.5%72.3%
Break %49.3%43.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diego Dedura-Palomero

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 13-19 L
29/06 Miguel Damas
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
24/06 Joaquin Guilleme
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Alexandre Reco
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 James Duckworth
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
06/06 Luka Mikrut
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
05/06 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 14-12 W

Clement Tabur

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 21-22 L
24/06 Bu Yunchaokete
Wimbledon · Grass
2-1 18-17 W
22/06 Federico Agustin Gomez
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 15-14 L
16/06 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
12/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/06 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/05 Jannik Sinner
French Open · Clay
0-3 8-18 L
19/05 Alexei Popyrin
ATP Geneva · Clay
1-2 17-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Tabur?

Our model gives 51% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.