Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Max Hans Rehberg vs Moise Kouame
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Max Hans Rehberg; the market gives 54% to Max Hans Rehberg (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Max Hans Rehberg sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Moise Kouame arrives on a 7-3 run.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Hans Rehberg 1565 · Moise Kouame 1503
| Max Hans Rehberg | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Hans Rehberg (rating 1565 vs 1503).
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Max Hans Rehberg | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.2 | 13.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Hans Rehberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | Olle Wallin M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Samuele Pieri M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Louis Mouffe M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Batsomi Marobela Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 28/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Marin Cilic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Patrick Kypson ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/04 | Philip Henning M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/04 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Hans Rehberg vs Moise Kouame?
Our model gives 56% to Max Hans Rehberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.