Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzsch
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Daniel Rincon; the market gives 50% to Daniel Rincon (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Daniel Rincon is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tom Gentzsch 6-4 over theirs.
| Daniel Rincon | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 14.5 aces and 51.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Rincon 1–0 Tom Gentzsch (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 11.6-12 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 14.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 51.4% |
H2H · Daniel Rincon 1 – 0 Tom Gentzsch (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 1–0 Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/22 M15 Alkmaar | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Jerome Kym French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 52% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.