Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00

Prediction: Laslo Djere vs Gonzalo Bueno

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Laslo Djere; the market gives 72% to Laslo Djere (odds 1.30).

Recent form leaves Laslo Djere with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Gonzalo Bueno has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

64%1
64% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laslo Djere 1508 · Gonzalo Bueno 1479
Laslo DjereGonzalo Bueno
Our model54%46%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Gonzalo Bueno dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.7% break avg.

Statistics

Laslo DjereGonzalo Bueno
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.1-1.2
Games (G-P)13-13.110.9-11.7
Aces4.37.1
Double faults2.42.7
1st serve %66.2%61.5%
Break %48.8%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laslo Djere

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Max Houkes
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
19/06 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
18/06 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
17/06 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
16/06 Jesper De Jong
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
08/06 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
26/05 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/05 Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Geneva · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
19/05 James Duckworth
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Gonzalo Bueno

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/06 Jerome Kym
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 12-17 L
18/06 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Tomasz Berkieta
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
02/06 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
21/05 Toby Samuel
French Open · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
20/05 Vitaliy Sachko
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/05 Florent Bax
French Open · Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laslo Djere vs Gonzalo Bueno?

Our model gives 64% to Laslo Djere, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.