Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 05/07, 13:00
Prediction: Leonardo Iemmi vs Henry Bernet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Henry Bernet; the market gives 92% to Henry Bernet (odds 1.02).
On recent form, Leonardo Iemmi is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Henry Bernet 5-5 over theirs.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Iemmi 1437 · Henry Bernet 1487
| Leonardo Iemmi | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Bernet (rating 1437 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Leonardo Iemmi | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.5 | 9.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Iemmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Nico Hipfl M25 Trento · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Noah Thurner ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Daniel Lechner ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin ITF M15 Bologna · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei ITF M15 Bologna · Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Leonardo Primucci ITF M15 Bologna · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrik Bladelius M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Iemmi vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 76% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.