Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 05/07, 11:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Berto vs Lorenzo Bocchi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lorenzo Bocchi; the market gives 69% to Lorenzo Bocchi (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Lorenzo Berto is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lorenzo Bocchi 6-4 over theirs.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Berto 1495 · Lorenzo Bocchi 1525
| Lorenzo Berto | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Berto | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.3 | 11.8-9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Berto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Antonio Caruso M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Stefan Popovic M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Lorenzo Bocchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/06 | William Mirarchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Alan Aiukhanov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Berto vs Lorenzo Bocchi?
Our model gives 62% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.