Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hernan Casanova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; the market gives 61% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Hernan Casanova has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 3–2 Hernan Casanova (5).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.8 | 11.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 49.5% |
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 3 – 2 Hernan Casanova (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 3–2 Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 M25 Lujan | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/02/25 ITF M25 Punta del Este | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06/24 Challenger Santa Fe | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/01/23 Challenger Concepcion | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/06/21 ITF M15 Sarajevo | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 58% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.