Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Samuel Heredia; the market gives 78% to Eduardo Ribeiro (odds 1.20).
Recent form leaves Samuel Heredia with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Eduardo Ribeiro has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
| Samuel Heredia | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuel Heredia (rating 1540 vs 1500).
- Head-to-head: Samuel Heredia 1–0 Eduardo Ribeiro (1).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.1 | 11.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 51.6% |
H2H · Samuel Heredia 1 – 0 Eduardo Ribeiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuel Heredia 1–0 Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/25 ITF M25 Villavicencio | 2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Borba Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Jose Gabriel Fernandez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 02/06 | Enzo Lima M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/05 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Fernando Cavallo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 63% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.