Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Hernan Casanova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves; the market gives 58% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Hernan Casanova arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0–1 Hernan Casanova (1).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.5 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 52.2% |
H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0 – 1 Hernan Casanova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0–1 Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/21 Challenger Montevideo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Victor Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/03 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/03 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/05 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 55% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.