Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; the market gives 83% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Samuel Heredia is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 8-2 over theirs.
| Samuel Heredia | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Samuel Heredia 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.6 | 13.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 53.1% |
H2H · Samuel Heredia 0 – 1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuel Heredia 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/24 Challenger Ibague | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Borba Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Jose Gabriel Fernandez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 69% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.