Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Madhwin Kamath vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Martin Van Der Meerschen; the market gives 79% to Martin Van Der Meerschen (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Madhwin Kamath is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Martin Van Der Meerschen 4-6 over theirs.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madhwin Kamath 1455 · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1570
| Madhwin Kamath | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1455 vs 1570).
- Martin Van Der Meerschen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Madhwin Kamath | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11 | 11.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madhwin Kamath
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lenny Petit M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/03 | Tarun Karra M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Keerthivassan Suresh M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/01 | Ilia Simakin M25 Chennai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Vadym Konovchuk M25 Chennai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/01 | Dorian Kos ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/12 | Gunawan Trismuwantara ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/12 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/05 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/05 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Emilien Demanet M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Sander Jong M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 08/04 | Florent Bax M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/04 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/03 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madhwin Kamath vs Martin Van Der Meerschen?
Our model gives 73% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.