Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Alessio Basile vs Franco Ribero
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Alessio Basile; the market gives 61% to Franco Ribero (odds 1.53).
Over their last 10 matches, Alessio Basile sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Franco Ribero arrives on a 5-5 run.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessio Basile 1505 · Franco Ribero 1494
| Alessio Basile | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alessio Basile 1–0 Franco Ribero (1).
Statistics
| Alessio Basile | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.6 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Alessio Basile 1 – 0 Franco Ribero (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alessio Basile 1–0 Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/23 ITF M15 Norman | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessio Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/01 | Haruki Okude UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/01 | Alexander Merson UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/01 | Lukas Frangenberg UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/11 | Francesco Forti M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 26/11 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/11 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/11 | Ognjen Jagrovic M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Benoit Geldof Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 05/06 | Robert Guna M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessio Basile vs Franco Ribero?
Our model gives 55% to Franco Ribero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.