Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Leo Raquillet vs Tomohiro Masabayashi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Leo Raquillet; the market gives 84% to Leo Raquillet (odds 1.11).
On recent form, Leo Raquillet is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tomohiro Masabayashi 1-9 over theirs.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Raquillet 1470 · Tomohiro Masabayashi 1404
| Leo Raquillet | Tomohiro Masabayashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Raquillet (rating 1470 vs 1404).
- Leo Raquillet is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Tomohiro Masabayashi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Leo Raquillet | Tomohiro Masabayashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 8.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/05 | Henry Searle M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Marcus Walters M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Tomohiro Masabayashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Nico Hipfl M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | David Tixhon M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Sergey Betov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 12/04 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/03 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Raquillet vs Tomohiro Masabayashi?
Our model gives 73% to Leo Raquillet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.