Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Edouard Villoslada vs Saba Purtseladze
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Saba Purtseladze; the market gives 79% to Saba Purtseladze (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Edouard Villoslada with 1 wins and 9 losses over 10 games; Saba Purtseladze has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edouard Villoslada 1423 · Saba Purtseladze 1501
| Edouard Villoslada | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saba Purtseladze (rating 1423 vs 1501).
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Saba Purtseladze is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Edouard Villoslada makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Edouard Villoslada | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-12.2 | 12.8-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edouard Villoslada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Johan Nikles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carles Rojas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Finn Murgett M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Noah Regas M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | David Naharro M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/03 | Andrea M'chich M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Lukas Morand M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/03 | Charles Chen M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Biletic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Tamerlan Azizov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Oleg Prihodko Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Radu Albot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edouard Villoslada vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 71% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.