Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Gabriele Maria Noce; the market gives 69% to Gabriele Maria Noce (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Tsung-Hao Huang sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Gabriele Maria Noce arrives on a 6-4 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tsung-Hao Huang 1424 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1503
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Maria Noce (rating 1424 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.7 | 10.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tsung-Hao Huang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Dax Donders M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Rocco Valente M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Calvin Mueller M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tsung-Hao Huang vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 65% to Gabriele Maria Noce, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.