Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Niklas Schell vs Michiel de Krom
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Niklas Schell; the market gives 73% to Michiel de Krom (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Niklas Schell is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Michiel de Krom 4-6 over theirs.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niklas Schell 1509 · Michiel de Krom 1484
| Niklas Schell | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Niklas Schell | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.8 | 10-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 60% |
| Break % | 33% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niklas Schell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ilian Borlee M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Manuel Plunger M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Luca Castagnola M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Miha Vetrih M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/04 | Fares Zakaria M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Matteo Martineau M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Vic |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niklas Schell vs Michiel de Krom?
Our model gives 61% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.