Tennis · Challenger Liege · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Niels Ratiu vs Kasra Rahmani
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Kasra Rahmani; the market gives 63% to Kasra Rahmani (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Niels Ratiu with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Kasra Rahmani has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Ratiu 1496 · Kasra Rahmani 1553
| Niels Ratiu | Kasra Rahmani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasra Rahmani (rating 1496 vs 1553).
Statistics
| Niels Ratiu | Kasra Rahmani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12 | 12.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Ratiu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Santiago Franchini M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Pedro Rodrigues ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Emilien Demanet ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Fadi Bidan ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Rodrigo Alujas ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliott Costa ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kasra Rahmani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Luca Potenza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Bagnolini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/04 | Jan Werblinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/04 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/04 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Ratiu vs Kasra Rahmani?
Our model gives 61% to Kasra Rahmani, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.