Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 05/07, 16:00
Prediction: Raphael Perot vs Jannik Opitz
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Jannik Opitz; the market gives 73% to Raphael Perot (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Raphael Perot with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Jannik Opitz has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphael Perot 1528 · Jannik Opitz 1540
| Raphael Perot | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Raphael Perot | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.8 | 11.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphael Perot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniel Jade Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Noah Karma Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | David Eichenseher Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Hugo Car M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Emilien Demanet M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jannik Opitz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Robert Strombachs M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Niels Ratiu M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Mattias Southcombe M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/04 | Vadym Ursu M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphael Perot vs Jannik Opitz?
Our model gives 62% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.