Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva; the market gives 50% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Alice Tubello with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Alice Tubello | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (rating 1503 vs 1625).
- Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.1 | 11.5-5.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 60.5% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Chloe Paquet W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva?
Our model gives 58% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.