Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 03/07, 13:30
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Julia Riera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Julia Riera; the market gives 63% to Julia Riera (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Ekaterine Gorgodze is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Julia Riera 5-5 over theirs.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1512 · Julia Riera 1569
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1512 vs 1569).
- Julia Riera dominates on serve: 12.1 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.4 | 12.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 12.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vendula Valdmannova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Tamara Zidansek French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Robin Montgomery French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Laura Samsonova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 61% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.