Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Pigato vs Alice Tubello
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Lisa Pigato; the market gives 59% to Lisa Pigato (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Lisa Pigato is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alice Tubello 3-7 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Pigato 1531 · Alice Tubello 1484
| Lisa Pigato | Alice Tubello | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Pigato (rating 1531 vs 1484).
- Head-to-head: Lisa Pigato 1–0 Alice Tubello (1).
Statistics
| Lisa Pigato | Alice Tubello | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 9.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Lisa Pigato 1 – 0 Alice Tubello (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisa Pigato 1–0 Alice Tubello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 W35 San Gregorio | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Pigato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Aliona Falei French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Alice Tubello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Pigato vs Alice Tubello?
Our model gives 58% to Lisa Pigato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.