Prediction: Julia Riera vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva; the market gives 56% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Julia Riera sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Julia Riera | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (rating 1553 vs 1620).
- Julia Riera dominates on serve: 7 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Julia Riera 1–0 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (1).
- Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.3 | 11.6-5.9 |
| Aces | 7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 61.8% |
H2H · Julia Riera 1 – 0 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Riera 1–0 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/25 W75 Zagreb | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Robin Montgomery French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Chloe Paquet W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva?
Our model gives 57% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.