Prediction: Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva vs Martina Capurro Taborda
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva; the market gives 77% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Martina Capurro Taborda arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (rating 1621 vs 1556).
Statistics
| Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | Martina Capurro Taborda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.8 | 11.9-10 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 45.7% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Chloe Paquet W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Martina Capurro Taborda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Arantxa Rus W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Carolina Alves W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Barbara Straszewska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Barbora Michalkova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Gabriella Price W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva vs Martina Capurro Taborda?
Our model gives 69% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.