Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 05/07, 11:30
Prediction: Vincent Marysko vs Viktor Durasovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Vincent Marysko; the market gives 65% to Viktor Durasovic (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Vincent Marysko with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Viktor Durasovic has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vincent Marysko 1518 · Viktor Durasovic 1498
| Vincent Marysko | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vincent Marysko | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.8 | 13.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 37% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vincent Marysko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Hammes M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels McDonald M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Justin Schlageter M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Viktor Durasovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Damien Salvestre M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vincent Marysko vs Viktor Durasovic?
Our model gives 57% to Viktor Durasovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.