Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs John Sperle
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Andrey Chepelev; the market gives 58% to Andrey Chepelev (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Andrey Chepelev is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and John Sperle 6-4 over theirs.
| Andrey Chepelev | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrey Chepelev (rating 1543 vs 1500).
- Head-to-head: Andrey Chepelev 0–1 John Sperle (1).
Statistics
| Andrey Chepelev | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9 | 10.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 39.9% |
H2H · Andrey Chepelev 0 – 1 John Sperle (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrey Chepelev 0–1 John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/25 M15 Antalya | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ivan Sabanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Mili Poljicak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Castagnola M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Amit Vales Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Dominik Palan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Adam Jilly M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Sasha Colleu M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Louis Wessels M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs John Sperle?
Our model gives 57% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.