Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Guo/Mladenovic vs Detiuc/Khromacheva
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Guo/Mladenovic; the market gives 77% to Guo/Mladenovic (odds 1.22).
Recent form leaves Guo/Mladenovic with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Detiuc/Khromacheva has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guo/Mladenovic 1555 · Detiuc/Khromacheva 1530
| Guo/Mladenovic | Detiuc/Khromacheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Guo/Mladenovic | Detiuc/Khromacheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.2 | 11.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guo/Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Alexandrova/Joint Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Burrage/Stojsavljevic Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Queens WD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 10/06 | Hunter/Zhang WTA Queens WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Muhammad/Stollar WTA Queens WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Aoyama/Liang French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Mertens/Zhang French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Hsieh/Wang French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Lys/Stearns French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Kichenok/Krawczyk WTA Paris WD · Clay |
1-2 | 19-18 | L |
Detiuc/Khromacheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kenin/Ostapenko Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Kessler/Shnaider Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Kichenok/Krawczyk WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Chan/Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Jiang/Xu WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Eikeri/Gleason French Open WD · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Kozyreva/Shymanovich French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Chong/Kempen WTA Rabat WD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Karamoko/Marcinko WTA Rabat WD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guo/Mladenovic vs Detiuc/Khromacheva?
Our model gives 66% to Guo/Mladenovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.