Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 05/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anja Stankovic vs Elza Tomase
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Elza Tomase; the market gives 44% to Elza Tomase (odds 2.10).
Recent form leaves Anja Stankovic with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Elza Tomase has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anja Stankovic 1498 · Elza Tomase 1564
| Anja Stankovic | Elza Tomase | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elza Tomase (rating 1498 vs 1564).
- Note: Anja Stankovic makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Elza Tomase makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Anja Stankovic | Elza Tomase | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.6 | 9.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anja Stankovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Dalila Spiteri W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 17/06 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Nadja Mladenovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Briana Szabo W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/04 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Julia Stamatova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/04 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/04 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Elza Tomase
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ipek Oz W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Nika Cakarun W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/03 | Natalija Senic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Eleni Tsetsou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anja Stankovic vs Elza Tomase?
Our model gives 51% to Elza Tomase, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.