Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 15/07, 09:00
Prediction: Noemi La Cagnina vs Sophie Greiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi La Cagnina
Sophie Greiner
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi La Cagnina
4-6 (W-L)
Sophie Greiner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi La Cagnina 1468 · Sophie Greiner 1558
| Noemi La Cagnina | Sophie Greiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Greiner (rating 1468 vs 1558).
- Sophie Greiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Noemi La Cagnina | Sophie Greiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.1 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi La Cagnina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 22/06 | NataliaNicole Constantin W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Azzurra Cremonini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Lisa Peer W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Sophie Greiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Milana Maslenkova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Ariane Paulus W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/06 | Ana Ioana Varsa W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexia Ioana Tatu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Alexia Patru W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Elena Grekul W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi La Cagnina vs Sophie Greiner?
Our model gives 66% to Sophie Greiner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.