Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 15/07, 08:30
Prediction: Lana Virc vs Nina Radovanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Lana Virc
Nina Radovanovic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lana Virc
4-6 (W-L)
Nina Radovanovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lana Virc 1478 · Nina Radovanovic 1540
| Lana Virc | Nina Radovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nina Radovanovic (rating 1478 vs 1540).
- Nina Radovanovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Nina Radovanovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lana Virc | Nina Radovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.2 | 11.6-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 53% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lana Virc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Saoirse Breen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/03 | Katy Dunne W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Madhurima Sawant W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/03 | Camilla Zanolini W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/03 | Magdalena Hedrzak W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/11 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Pia Lovric ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Eliska Tichackova ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Darja Suvirdjonkova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Nina Radovanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Anja Stankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Anja Stankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Mia Horvit W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lana Virc vs Nina Radovanovic?
Our model gives 68% to Nina Radovanovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.