Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 13/07, 12:30
Prediction: Noemi La Cagnina vs Sophie Luescher
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi La Cagnina
Sophie Luescher
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi La Cagnina
4-6 (W-L)
Sophie Luescher
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi La Cagnina 1469 · Sophie Luescher 1534
| Noemi La Cagnina | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1469 vs 1534).
- Note: Sophie Luescher makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Noemi La Cagnina | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.4 | 10.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi La Cagnina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 22/06 | NataliaNicole Constantin W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Azzurra Cremonini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Lisa Peer W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 29/04 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sophie Luescher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Verica Zrnic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Emily Seibold W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ashley Lahey W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Danique Havermans W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Stoney Cooks W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Nuppu Palm W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/03 | Laima Vladson W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi La Cagnina vs Sophie Luescher?
Our model gives 55% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.