Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 15/07, 08:30
Prediction: Helena Stevic vs Mariia Masiianskaia
Prediction summary
Winner
Helena Stevic
Mariia Masiianskaia
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Helena Stevic
4-6 (W-L)
Mariia Masiianskaia
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helena Stevic 1456 · Mariia Masiianskaia 1451
| Helena Stevic | Mariia Masiianskaia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mariia Masiianskaia makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Helena Stevic | Mariia Masiianskaia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.9 | 10.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 53% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Helena Stevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Briana Szabo W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Amelia Paszun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Mariia Masiianskaia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Nancy Lee W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Federica Sacco W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Sara Mikaca W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Viktoria Veleva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Ipek Oz W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Patricia Georgiana Goina UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/04 | Julia Stamatova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Helena Stevic vs Mariia Masiianskaia?
Our model gives 50% to Helena Stevic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.