Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 15/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sophie Luescher vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Luescher
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Luescher
7-3 (W-L)
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Luescher 1557 · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1449
| Sophie Luescher | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Luescher (rating 1557 vs 1449).
- Sophie Luescher is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Sophie Luescher makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Luescher | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 7.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 64.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Luescher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Verica Zrnic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Emily Seibold W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ashley Lahey W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Danique Havermans W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Stoney Cooks W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Nuppu Palm W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sandra Samir W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Luisa Hrda W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Nada Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Luescher vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Our model gives 57% to Sophie Luescher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.