Tennis · M15 San Diego · 04/07, 19:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Liam Krall
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Aidan Kim; the market gives 69% to Aidan Kim (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Aidan Kim sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Liam Krall arrives on a 6-4 run.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1576 · Liam Krall 1518
| Aidan Kim | Liam Krall | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Kim (rating 1576 vs 1518).
- Head-to-head: Aidan Kim 1–0 Liam Krall (1).
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Liam Krall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.2 | 11.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Aidan Kim 1 – 0 Liam Krall (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Kim 1–0 Liam Krall
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/25 ITF M25 Dallas | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Chang M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Brayden Tallakson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Liam Krall
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Ren M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
| 13/05 | Corey Craig M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Alex Rybakov M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Gavin Goode M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Liam Krall?
Our model gives 64% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.