Tennis · M15 San Diego · 03/07, 21:00
Prediction: Matic Kriznik vs Noah Zamora
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Matic Kriznik; the market gives 66% to Noah Zamora (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Matic Kriznik sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Noah Zamora arrives on a 6-4 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matic Kriznik 1579 · Noah Zamora 1538
| Matic Kriznik | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matic Kriznik (rating 1579 vs 1538).
Statistics
| Matic Kriznik | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8 | 10.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matic Kriznik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Vit Kalina M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Miles Jones M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Rui Ning Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Noah Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matic Kriznik vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 56% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.