Tennis · M15 San Diego · 02/07, 21:00
Prediction: Matic Kriznik vs Vit Kalina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Matic Kriznik; the market gives 46% to Matic Kriznik (odds 2.00).
Over their last 10 matches, Matic Kriznik sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Vit Kalina arrives on a 6-4 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matic Kriznik 1577 · Vit Kalina 1546
| Matic Kriznik | Vit Kalina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matic Kriznik | Vit Kalina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-7.6 | 10-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 65% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matic Kriznik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Miles Jones M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Rui Ning Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Tyler Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Vit Kalina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Stefan Menichella M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ronit Karki M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcel Latak M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Reece Falck M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Theodore Dean M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Jones M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matic Kriznik vs Vit Kalina?
Our model gives 50% to Matic Kriznik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.