Tennis · M15 San Diego · 03/07, 21:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Theodore Dean
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Aidan Kim; the market gives 72% to Aidan Kim (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Aidan Kim with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Theodore Dean has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1563 · Theodore Dean 1531
| Aidan Kim | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.7 | 11.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Chang M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Brayden Tallakson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/11 | Jack Anthrop ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/11 | Henry Searle ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Theodore Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Rafael De Alba M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Rudy Quan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Ozan Baris M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Spencer Johnson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Tristan Stringer M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/02 | Liam Krall UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Theodore Dean?
Our model gives 64% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.