Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 04/07, 13:30

Prediction: Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xu

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Kichenok/Krawczyk; the market gives 65% to Kichenok/Krawczyk (odds 1.44).

Recent form leaves Kichenok/Krawczyk with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Jiang/Xu has piled up 1-9 in the same span.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kichenok/Krawczyk 1489 · Jiang/Xu 1435
Kichenok/KrawczykJiang/Xu
Our model58%42%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kichenok/Krawczyk (rating 1489 vs 1435).
  • Head-to-head: Kichenok/Krawczyk 1–0 Jiang/Xu (1).

Statistics

Kichenok/KrawczykJiang/Xu
Win %40%20%
Win % · Grass 40% (5) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.6-1.7
Games (G-P)11.7-11.110.2-14
Aces1.61.4
Double faults3.42.4
1st serve %68.2%61.2%
Break %42.5%37.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.2

H2H · Kichenok/Krawczyk 10 Jiang/Xu (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kichenok/Krawczyk 10 Jiang/Xu

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DateSetsGamesRes.
15/05/26
WTA Paris WD
2-012-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kichenok/Krawczyk

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Oliynykova/Zarazua
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-0 12-1 W
21/06 Korpatsch/Webley-Smith
WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass
1-2 19-20 L
18/06 Alexandrova/Noskova
WTA Berlin WD · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Detiuc/Khromacheva
WTA Berlin WD · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
09/06 Jovic/Kessler
WTA Queens WD · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Haddad Maia/Samsonova
French Open WD · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
20/05 Dabrowski/Stefani
WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
19/05 Mihalikova/Nicholls
WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/05 Aoyama/Liang
WTA Paris WD · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
15/05 Jiang/Xu
WTA Paris WD · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Jiang/Xu

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Golubic/Valentova
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-1 15-16 W
22/06 Mihalikova/Nicholls
WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
21/06 Mihalikova/Nicholls
WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Errani/Melichar-Martinez
WTA Berlin WD · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
09/06 Detiuc/Khromacheva
WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
27/05 Kalinina/Yastremska
French Open WD · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
18/05 Alexandrova/Danilina
WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay
1-2 17-22 L
15/05 Kichenok/Krawczyk
WTA Paris WD · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
14/05 Eikeri/Kato
WTA Paris WD · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/05 Danilina/Muhammad
WTA Rome WD · Clay
1-2 21-20 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xu?

Our model gives 61% to Kichenok/Krawczyk, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.