Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 05/07, 12:00
Prediction: Hsieh/Wang vs Mertens/Zhang
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Hsieh/Wang; the market gives 63% to Mertens/Zhang (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Hsieh/Wang is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Mertens/Zhang 6-4 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hsieh/Wang 1534 · Mertens/Zhang 1512
| Hsieh/Wang | Mertens/Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hsieh/Wang 1–0 Mertens/Zhang (1).
Statistics
| Hsieh/Wang | Mertens/Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 13.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Hsieh/Wang 1 – 0 Mertens/Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hsieh/Wang 1–0 Mertens/Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 WTA Rome WD | 2-1 | 23-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hsieh/Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Dudeney/Xu Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Korpatsch/Webley-Smith WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Kasatkina/Osorio French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Andreeva/Shnaider WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Mertens/Zhang WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 19/12 | Ferri/Misasi M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/12 | Stepanov/Yazdani M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/12 | Beckles/Horoz M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Mertens/Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Begu/Cristian Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Berlin WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Fossa Huergo/Korpatsch French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/05 | Parks/Pigossi French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Hsieh/Wang WTA Rome WD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-23 | L |
| 25/04 | Andreeva/Shnaider WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | McNally/Pegula WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/03 | Hunter/Pegula WTA Miami WD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-21 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hsieh/Wang vs Mertens/Zhang?
Our model gives 55% to Mertens/Zhang, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.