Prediction: Alina Shcherbinina vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Alina Shcherbinina; the market gives 54% to Alina Shcherbinina (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Alina Shcherbinina is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 8-2 over theirs.
| Alina Shcherbinina | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1636 vs 1557).
- Head-to-head: Alina Shcherbinina 1–0 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (1).
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alina Shcherbinina | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-5.9 | 13.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 43.2% |
H2H · Alina Shcherbinina 1 – 0 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alina Shcherbinina 1–0 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/23 W15 San Diego | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Shcherbinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kayla Chung W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Raina Miae Kim W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Patsy Daughters W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jade Otway W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicole Weng W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Ena Koike W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Allura Zamarripa W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Allison Wang W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Shcherbinina vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 57% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.