Tennis · W15 San Diego · 02/07, 22:30
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Kate Fakih
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Kelly Keller; the market gives 65% to Kate Fakih (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Kelly Keller is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kate Fakih 4-6 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1516 · Kate Fakih 1474
| Kelly Keller | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kelly Keller (rating 1516 vs 1474).
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.2 | 8.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 50% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Elena Goodman W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Jane Dunyon W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Simone Kay W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Maiko Uchijima W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 12/05 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/04 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 04/06 | Ava Hrastar W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Lily Taylor W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Francesca Pace ITF W35 Bakersfield · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Alexis Nguyen ITF W35 Bakersfield · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Avery Nguyen ITF W35 Bakersfield · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Madison Sieg ITF W35 Redding · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Katerina Mandelikova ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Kate Fakih?
Our model gives 55% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.