Tennis · W15 San Diego · 02/07, 21:00
Prediction: Alexandra Vagramov vs Maria Aytoyan
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Alexandra Vagramov; the market gives 69% to Alexandra Vagramov (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Alexandra Vagramov is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maria Aytoyan 7-3 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Vagramov 1547 · Maria Aytoyan 1531
| Alexandra Vagramov | Maria Aytoyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexandra Vagramov makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Vagramov | Maria Aytoyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.9 | 11.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 59.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Vagramov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Armira Kockinis W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Antonia Rivera W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maria Aytoyan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yilin Chen W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Claire Hill W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Caroline Driscoll W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Elvira Juravliova W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Vagramov vs Maria Aytoyan?
Our model gives 61% to Alexandra Vagramov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.