Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lisa Pigato vs Laima Vladson
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Laima Vladson; the market gives 83% to Lisa Pigato (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Lisa Pigato sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Laima Vladson arrives on a 6-4 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Pigato 1460 · Laima Vladson 1537
| Lisa Pigato | Laima Vladson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laima Vladson (rating 1460 vs 1537).
- Laima Vladson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lisa Pigato makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Pigato | Laima Vladson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.7 | 9.5-6.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Pigato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Aliona Falei French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Maria Timofeeva W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Laima Vladson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lidia Encheva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Kailey Evans W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Francisca Laundes W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/05 | Julia Khramtsova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Elizaveta Rozhkova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/04 | Daniela Vismane W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Pigato vs Laima Vladson?
Our model gives 63% to Lisa Pigato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.