Prediction: Adam Jilly vs Luca Wiedenmann
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Luca Wiedenmann; the market gives 73% to Luca Wiedenmann (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Adam Jilly sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Luca Wiedenmann arrives on a 7-3 run.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Jilly 1509 · Luca Wiedenmann 1524
| Adam Jilly | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adam Jilly | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.8 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 25.5% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Jilly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Melvin Kumar M15 Store |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Vlad Cristian Breazu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Charlie Swaine UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Norbert Marosik UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | John Sperle M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Aron Janos Major M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/11 | Alex Martinez Challenger Champaign · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Leonardo Tombolini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Dominik Macej Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Maxime Chazal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Jan Simonsson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Jilly vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 64% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.