Tennis · M15 Store · 03/07, 11:30

Prediction: Nikola Slavic vs Luca Wiedenmann

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Luca Wiedenmann; the market gives 66% to Luca Wiedenmann (odds 1.40).

On recent form, Nikola Slavic is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Luca Wiedenmann 7-3 over theirs.

61%2
39% 61%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nikola Slavic 1494 · Luca Wiedenmann 1520
Nikola SlavicLuca Wiedenmann
Our model46%54%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nikola SlavicLuca Wiedenmann
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.4-1
Games (G-P)10.9-10.112-10.1
Aces3.53.1
Double faults1.92
1st serve %69.8%70%
Break %38.9%39.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nikola Slavic

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M15 Store
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Matic Dimic
M15 Store
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Nik Mikovic
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Stepan Baum
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Karl Friberg
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/05 Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
M25 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
19/05 Eric Vanshelboim
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
15/05 Yannik Kelm
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
14/05 Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/05 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Luca Wiedenmann

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Adam Jilly
M15 Store
2-1 16-14 W
16/06 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/06 Leonardo Tombolini
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
09/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
25/05 Peter Fajta
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/05 Dominik Macej
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/05 Maxime Chazal
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
07/05 Jan Simonsson
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nikola Slavic vs Luca Wiedenmann?

Our model gives 61% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.