Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Dan Added
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Pierre Antoine Tailleu; the market gives 87% to Dan Added (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Pierre Antoine Tailleu is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Dan Added 4-6 over theirs.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Antoine Tailleu 1532 · Dan Added 1484
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Antoine Tailleu (rating 1532 vs 1484).
- Pierre Antoine Tailleu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Pierre Antoine Tailleu makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Pierre Antoine Tailleu | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 9.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Seydina Andre M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Mariano David Cassan M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Antoine Walch M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 14/06 | Baptiste Droin M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Mikail Alimli UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/05 | Yassine Smiej UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Dan Added
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Jules Leroux M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Gustavo Heide French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 67% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.