Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 05/07, 17:00
Prediction: Laurent Lokoli vs Dan Added
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Dan Added; the market gives 59% to Laurent Lokoli (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Laurent Lokoli sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Dan Added arrives on a 6-4 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laurent Lokoli 1542 · Dan Added 1572
| Laurent Lokoli | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Laurent Lokoli 2–1 Dan Added (3).
Statistics
| Laurent Lokoli | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.5 | 12-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Laurent Lokoli 2 – 1 Dan Added (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laurent Lokoli 2–1 Dan Added
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/25 Challenger Hersonissos | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05/25 M25 Bol | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/01/22 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dan Added
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Jules Leroux M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurent Lokoli vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 53% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.