Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 03/07, 18:00
Prediction: Robin Catry vs Dan Added
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Robin Catry; the market gives 56% to Dan Added (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Robin Catry is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Dan Added 4-6 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Catry 1516 · Dan Added 1508
| Robin Catry | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Robin Catry dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 43.1% break avg.
- Note: Robin Catry makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Robin Catry | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.6 | 10.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Catry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Clement Lemire M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mikail Alimli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Luciano Barbarino M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Evgeny Karlovskiy M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/04 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Jules Leroux M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Gustavo Heide French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Catry vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 53% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.