Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 04/07, 17:30
Prediction: Laurent Lokoli vs Matisse Bobichon
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Matisse Bobichon; the market gives 69% to Laurent Lokoli (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Laurent Lokoli is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Matisse Bobichon 8-2 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laurent Lokoli 1533 · Matisse Bobichon 1562
| Laurent Lokoli | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Laurent Lokoli | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.4 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 64% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Matisse Bobichon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels Villard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Andre Megrabian M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurent Lokoli vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 58% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.